Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Caen		Lorient

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.8	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.44	3.52	2.19
	3.35	3.53	2.07	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.4	3.44	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	3.51 ↓ (3.67)	2.13 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Caen
28.9%

Draw
26.8%

Lorient
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Caen - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 4. Henry V. 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. (C) 28. Lecoeuche Q. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 6. M'Vila Y. 17. Kyeremeh G. 10. Brahimi B. 7. Gomis T. 19. Mendy A.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 24. Kalulu G. 5. Mendy F. 32. Adjei N. 44. Yongwa D. 77. Katseris P. 6. Abergel L. 62. Avom A. 21. Ponceau J. 28. Soumano S. 22. Kroupi E. J.
Substitutes
3. Bolumbu D. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 8. Le Bihan M. 20. Lebreton N. 50. Najim I. 14. Rajot L.	9. Bamba M. 60. Genton E. 66. James I. 15. Laporte J. 1. Leroy B. (G) 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 27. Tosin A.
Coaches
Seube N.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Gomis T. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Soumano S. (A),
38', Gaucho Debohi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
49', Lecoeuche Q. 🟨,
62', Brahimi B. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
66', Ponceau J. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
67', Soumano S. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
75', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Bolumbu D. ↑,
75', Gomis T. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
76', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
85', Abergel L. ↓, Genton E. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Bamba M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Caen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lorient will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Caen: Sy L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Diarra S. (Knee Injury) Fadiga B. (Injury) Mendy B. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Lorient: Le Bris T. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Caen won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
30.09.24	Guingamp - Caen	3:1 ✺
24.09.24	Caen - Amiens	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
16.09.24	Grenoble - Caen	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	Caen - Annecy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLT
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
27.09.24	Lorient - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
24.09.24	Pau - Lorient	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Metz - Lorient	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Lorient - Red Star	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Amiens - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.01.20	Lorient - Caen	2:1
05.08.19	Caen - Lorient	1:2
French Coupe de la Ligue
24.10.17	Lorient - Caen	0:1
Club Friendly
19.07.17	Caen - Lorient	2:1
French Ligue 1
02.04.17	Lorient - Caen	1:0
13.08.16	Caen - Lorient	3:2
09.04.16	Caen - Lorient	1:2

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