Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Ferrocarril Midland		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.00	3.25	Watch
	2.40	2.80	3.00
	2.45	2.90	3.05	Watch
	2.54	2.93	3.30
	2.65	2.72	3.14	Watch
	2.40	2.75	3.20
	2.38	2.78	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.2)	2.84 ↑ (2.76)	3.15 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
37.9%

Draw
32.7%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

33.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

35.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrocarril Midland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Ferrocarril Midland - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 2. Cepeda G. 3. Penepil M. 6. Gigli L. 4. Diaz Laharque L. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Campana A. I. 8. Camano J. 5. Violini N. 10. Roseti M. 9. Perales J.	1. Rago F. (G) 2. Moreira R. 4. Garcia M. 6. Rojas T. 3. Arguello D. 7. Rivero B. 5. Previtali N. 8. Castro Ponce T. 10. Puch J. 9. Quintana A. 11. Castro F.
Substitutes
20. Abruzzese M. 18. Cao R. 13. Casarico P. 19. Flores M. 16. Frattini M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 15. Guzman D. 17. Madalon V. 14. Porro E.	19. Alvarez F. 16. Bernardi C. 13. Galeano L. 17. Ibarra M. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 15. Mendoza G. 14. Ostachuk P. 20. Rodriguez I. 18. Sosa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Castro F. ⚽, Quintana A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Rogoski M. ⚽, Penepil M. (A),
30', Arguello D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Puch J. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
48', Violini N. 🟨,
56', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Porro E. ↑,
57', Gigli L. 🟨,
62', Rivero B. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
63', Castro F. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
66', Violini N. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
66', Campana A. I. ↓, Abruzzese M. ↑,
83', Perales J. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
83', Penepil M. ↓, Madalon V. ↑,
85', Quintana A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
90+10', 1 - 2, Rodriguez I. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

In recent matches, Ferrocarril has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlanta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferrocarril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferrocarril is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.06.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Ferrocarril Midland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWWT

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