Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Club Almagro		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.70	2.75
	2.60	2.75	2.85
	2.40	2.85	3.20	Watch
	2.92	2.90	2.88
	2.42	2.89	3.28	Watch
	2.85	2.75	2.80
	2.82	2.77	2.82
	2.70	2.70	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.58)	2.79 ↑ (2.76)	2.92 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
34.7%

Draw
33.4%

Deportivo Maipú
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

33.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

32.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Club Almagro - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Flores J. 2. Chamorro S. 6. Negro B. 3. Tolosa N. 8. Martinez E. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Macies T. 5. Marchioni J. 7. Dornell T. 9. De La Vega F.	1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 5. Vera J. 8. Perez E. (C) 7. Saccone F. 11. Bonfigli M. 10. Silva T. 9. Cabrera L.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 17. Bustos J. 20. Canale T. 15. Fernandes J. 18. Lopez T. 19. Salto C. 14. Silcan E. 16. Villalobos U. 13. Vitale J.	16. Arno J. C. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Ferreyra T. 20. Giacone J. 17. Orosco B. 14. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 19. Viguet M. 18. Yavante Gaitan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Bonfigli M. ⚽, Vera J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, De La Vega F. ⚽, Marchioni J. (A),
31', 2 - 1, De La Vega F. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
39', 2 - 2, Bonfigli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dornell T. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
58', Cabrera L. ↓, Giacone J. ↑,
58', Silva T. ↓, Yavante Gaitan D. ↑,
58', Vera J. ↓, Arno J. C. ↑,
74', Negro B. 🟨,
74', De La Vega F. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
74', Martinez E. ↓, Canale T. ↑,
78', Tolosa N. 🟨,
80', Bonfigli M. ↓, Viguet M. ↑,
81', Tolosa N. ↓, Silcan E. ↑,
81', Macies T. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
90+1', de la Reta J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Club Almagro - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.26	Club Almagro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Club Almagro - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Morón - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Quilmes - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWTLT
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.26	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Colegiales - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Godoy Cruz - Deportivo Maipú	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	1:0
05.07.25	Club Almagro - Deportivo Maipú	0:1
02.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	3:1
18.09.22	Club Almagro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0

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