The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 51.9%
Draw 25.2%
Monterrey 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
25.4%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
24.8%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Club América - Monterrey Predictions
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (C) 34. Espinoza D. 14. Bueno S. 15. Ramos S. 26. Borja C. 28. Sanchez E. 3. Reyes I. 10. Zendejas A. 23. Raphael Veiga 7. Rodriguez B. 9. Martin H.
1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 13. Salcedo C. 3. Arteaga G. 18. Garza C. 9. Rossi D. 8. Torres O. 25. Pineda O. 17. Corona J. (C) 99. Cuypers H.
Coaches
Almada G.
Almeyda M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Borja C. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Bueno S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Raphael Veiga ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
57', Reyes I. ↓, Cerrillo E. ↑,
59', Chavez R. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
59', Torres O. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
62', Garza C. 🟨,
66', Zendejas A. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
67', Garza C. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
68', Corona J. ↓, Reyes C. ↑,
74', Borja C. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
74', Martin H. ↓, Alvarez K. ↑,
87', Miguel Borja 🟥,
88', Rossi D. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 2.
América is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Monterrey have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
América may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, América has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, América is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for América: Zuniga J.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for América: Davila V.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, América has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for América against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Club America
10
6
3
1
22:11
11
21
10
Monterrey
10
4
2
4
17:15
2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Club América - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.15%, but this team recently wins 68% of matches with these odds.
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Malagon L. (C) 
Bueno S. 
Ramos S. 
Borja C. 
Zendejas A. 
Raphael Veiga 
Torres O. 
Cuypers H. 
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