The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Brugge 38%
Draw 26.9%
Aston Villa 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
25.5%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
25.3%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.9%
21.6%
32.4%
Club Brugge - Aston Villa Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 17 - 45.9%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 12 - 32.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 29.8% – 62%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 1 - 25%). Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Brugge (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Brugge (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 50%). Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 64. Sabbe K. 3. Lee Han-Beom 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 8. Potts F. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 9. Forbs C. 10. Vetlesen H. 11. Virgili J. 7. Tresoldi N.
1. Suzuki Z. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 3. Lindelof V. 14. Torres P. 22. Maatsen I. 8. Kamara B. 35. Joao Gomes 7. McGinn J. (C) 10. Buendia E. 53. Hemmings G. 11. Jackson N.
Substitutes
62. Audoor L. 54. Coulibaly S. 67. Diakhon M. 29. Jackers N. (G) 80. Lemarechal F. 27. Mike W. 41. Siquet H. 58. Spileers J. 16. Tsawa C. 81. Vanden Driessche A. (G) 77. Vasovic A. 17. Vermant R.
18. Abraham T. 47. Alysson 6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 17. Garnacho A. 19. Mbaye I. 5. Mings T. 13. Ruggeri M. 42. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Leko I.
Emery U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
9', Maatsen I. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, McGinn J. ⚽, Torres P. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Vetlesen H. ⚽, Virgili J. (A),
22', 1 - 2, Buendia E. ⚽, Joao Gomes (A),
43', 1 - 3, Jackson N. ⚽, Torres P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sabbe K. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
48', Vanaken H. 🟨,
61', 2 - 3, Tresoldi N. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Virgili J. 🟨,
68', Wan-Bissaka A. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
68', Buendia E. ↓, Alysson ↑,
68', Kamara B. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
77', Vanaken H. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
77', Vetlesen H. ↓, Tsawa C. ↑,
78', McGinn J. 🟨,
81', Jackson N. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
86', Potts F. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
86', Virgili J. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
89', Vermant R. 🟨,
89', Joao Gomes 🟨,
Preview
Brugge is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aston Villa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Brugge: Ordonez J.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Aston Villa: Cisse M.
(Off the roster)
Harwood-Bellis T.
(Off the roster)
Madjo B.
(Ankle Injury)
Manzambi J.
(Knee Injury)
Onana A.
(Knee Injury)
We predict that Brugge will win today's game, with odds of 2.66.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Brugge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now
Aston Villa: 1.49%
Standings
League phase
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Aston Villa
1
1
0
0
3:2
1
3
24
Club Brugge KV
1
0
0
1
2:3
-1
0
Last Results with these Odds
Aston Villa - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.77%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.