Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bayer Leverkusen		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.95	6.4	Watch
	1.4	5.6	7.7
	1.42	5.5	6.98	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6	Watch
	1.47	5.33	6.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	5.2 ↑ (4.9)	6.73 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
67.3%

Draw
18.5%

Augsburg
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

18.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	11.4%	2.3%

Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Augsburg (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 2 - 50%). Augsburg (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 21. Lucas 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. (C) 30. Maza I. 23. Tella N. 14. Schick P.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 34. Arthur Chaves 6. Gouweleeuw J. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 19. Fellhauer R. 4. Massengo H. 32. Rieder F. 13. Giannoulis D. 30. Kade A. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 21. Ribeiro R.
Substitutes
8. Andrich R. 17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 42. Culbreath M. 7. Hofmann J. 35. Kofane C. 15. Oermann T. 19. Poku E. 10. Tillman M.	40. Banks N. 11. Gharbi I. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 3. Pedersen M. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 27. Wolf M.
Coaches
Hjulmand K.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Schick P. ⚽, Tapsoba E. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Rieder F. ⚽, Giannoulis D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Quansah J. 🟨,
52', Rieder F. 🟨,
60', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
65', Lucas ↓, Culbreath M. ↑,
72', Quansah J. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
74', Ribeiro R. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
81', Palacios E. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
81', Tella N. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
81', Fellhauer R. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
82', Kade A. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
86', Garcia A. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 2, Rieder F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 4.

Bayer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Augsburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayer is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Labrovic N. (Personal Reasons)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.01% Augsburg: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10:5	5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Bayer Leverkusen - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.59%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
11.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTLT
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
10.04.26	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Augsburg - Stuttgart	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0
26.04.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	2:0
14.12.24	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2
18.05.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	2:1
13.01.24	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1
03.02.23	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0
13.08.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2

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