Match Info

EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	RTBF, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	TV8 Turkey
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Club Brugge		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.7
	2.4	3.25	2.65
	2.55	3.5	2.75
	2.62	3.55	2.76
	2.57	3.55	2.76
	2.58	3.54	2.62
	2.5	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.57)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	2.71 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
37.6%

Draw
27.4%

Fiorentina
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.5%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	22.4%	6.9%

Club Brugge - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 39 - 69.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 4 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 23.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 57.6% – 81.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mignolet S. (G) 6. Odoi D. 44. Mechele B. 4. Ordonez J. 64. Sabbe K. 10. Vetlesen H. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 55. De Cuyper M. 8. Skoras M. 99. Thiago I. 9. Jutgla F.	1. Terracciano P. (G) 2. Dodo 4. Milenkovic N. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 9. Beltran L. 6. Arthur Melo 38. Mandragora R. 10. Gonzalez N. 20. Belotti A. 99. Kouame C.
Substitutes
39. Balanta E. 21. Bursik J. (G) 62. Homma S. 29. Jackers N. (G) 27. Nielsen C. 32. Nusa A. 65. Seys J. 58. Spileers J. 68. Talbi C. 77. Zinckernagel P.	72. Barak A. 53. Christensen O. (G) 37. Comuzzo P. 32. Duncan A. 22. Faraoni D. 11. Ikone J. 19. Infantino G. 33. Kayode M. 8. Lopez M. 18. Nzola M. 65. Parisi F. 16. Ranieri L.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Vanaken H. ⚽, Thiago I. (A),
43', Ordonez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Thiago I. 🟨,
62', Vetlesen H. 🟨,
70', Vetlesen H. ↓, Zinckernagel P. ↑,
70', Belotti A. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
70', Arthur Melo ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
72', Odoi D. 🟨,
83', Mechele B. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Beltran L. (Pen),
86', Odoi D. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
86', Skoras M. ↓, Nielsen C. ↑,
88', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
90', Beltran L. 🟨,
90', Beltran L. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
90+4', Odoi D. 🟨,
90+4', Dodo 🟨,
90+6', Nzola M. 🟨,
90+7', Italiano V. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.

Brugge is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fiorentina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Brugge have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brugge won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.05.24	Royal Antwerp - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.05.24	Fiorentina - Club Brugge	3:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.04.24	Genk - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
24.04.24	Club Brugge - Genk	4:0 ✺
21.04.24	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
05.05.24	Verona - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.05.24	Fiorentina - Club Brugge	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.04.24	Fiorentina - Sassuolo	5:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.04.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.04.24	Salernitana - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
02.05.24	Fiorentina - Club Brugge	3:2

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