Match Info

EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	RTBF
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Club Brugge		PAOK

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.75
	2	3.25	3.4
	2.08	3.45	3.55	Watch
	2.08	3.65	3.88
	2.07	3.41	3.88
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	2.03	3.54	3.62
	2.07	3.45	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	3.7 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
47.1%

Draw
27.3%

PAOK
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.8%	19.1%	17%

Club Brugge - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 30 - 63.8%). PAOK will win (votes: 8 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 50.1% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Jackers N. (G) 58. Spileers J. 44. Mechele B. 55. De Cuyper M. 64. Sabbe K. 15. Onyedika R. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 10. Vetlesen H. 8. Skoras M. 99. Thiago I. 9. Jutgla F.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 20. Vieirinha (C) 16. Kedziora T. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 8. Meite S. 14. Zivkovic A. 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 33. Samatta M.
Substitutes
39. Balanta E. 28. Boyata D. 21. Bursik J. (G) 62. Homma S. 14. Meijer B. 32. Nusa A. 4. Ordonez J. 68. Talbi C. 77. Zinckernagel P.	77. Despodov K. 19. Jonny 88. Marcos Antonio 5. Michailidis G. 22. Schwab S. 64. Talichmanidis C. (G) 71. Thomas B. 6. Tsingaras T. 95. Tzimas S. 18. Zivkovic Z. (G)
Coaches
Hayen N.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Vetlesen H. ⚽, Jutgla F. (A),
25', Thiago I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Samatta M. 🟨,
55', Spileers J. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
62', Konstantelias G. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
73', Samatta M. ↓, Thomas B. ↑,
73', Ozdoev M. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
73', Jutgla F. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
73', Vetlesen H. ↓, Balanta E. ↑,
78', Thiago I. (Pen),
81', Vieirinha ↓, Jonny ↑,
84', De Cuyper M. 🟨,
90', Mechele B. 🟨,
90', Thomas B. 🟨,
90+2', Skoras M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

PAOK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brugge is a favorite.

There will not play in Brugge: Skov Olsen A. (Knock)

There will not play in PAOK: Murg T. (Illness) Troost-Ekong W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brugge: Mignolet S. (Muscle Injury) Odoi D. (Knock) Vanaken H. (Illness)

There are questionable in PAOK: Taison (Illness)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brugge won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Brugge won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.04.24	Club Brugge - Anderlecht	3:1 ✺
01.04.24	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	Club Brugge - Molde	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.03.24	Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLWW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
07.04.24	AEK Athens - PAOK	2:2 ✺
03.04.24	PAOK - Lamia	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	PAOK - Dinamo Zagreb	5:1 ✺
Greek Super League
10.03.24	PAOK - Aris	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.16	Club Brugge - PAOK	0:2

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