Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 6
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Sporza
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Club Brugge		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.63
	2.65	3.4	2.6
	2.65	3.55	2.65	Watch
	2.7	3.55	2.67
	2.64	3.52	2.69	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.6
	2.72	3.62	2.65
	2.65	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.27)	3.51 ↓ (3.68)	2.64 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
36.1%

Draw
27.4%

Sporting Lisbon
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club Brugge's performance.

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Brugge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	36.1%	41.7%

Club Brugge - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 16 - 22.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 28 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 28.5% – 51.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mignolet S. (G) 65. Seys J. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 7. Skov Olsen A. 30. Jashari A. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 15. Onyedika R. 55. De Cuyper M. 9. Jutgla F. 8. Tzolis C.	1. Israel F. (G) 72. Quaresma E. 26. Diomande O. 2. Matheus Reis 21. Catamo G. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 52. Simoes J. 57. Quenda G. 20. Araujo M. 17. Trincao 9. Gyokeres V.
Substitutes
29. Jackers N. (G) 27. Nielsen C. 19. Nilsson G. 2. Romero Z. 64. Sabbe K. 58. Spileers J. 68. Talbi C. 17. Vermant R. 10. Vetlesen H.	81. Arreiol H. 50. Brito A. 78. Couto M. 6. Debast Z. 41. Diego Callai (G) 10. Edwards M. 47. Esgaio R. 22. Fresneda I. 19. Harder C. 13. Kovacevic V. (G) 3. St. Juste J.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Teixeira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Catamo G. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Quaresma E. (Own goal), Tzolis C. (A),
26', Skov Olsen A. 🟨,
34', Gyokeres V. 🟨,
43', Tzolis C. 🟨,
45', Quaresma E. ↓, St. Juste J. ↑,
45+4', Onyedika R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', St. Juste J. 🟨,
52', Mignolet S. 🟨,
64', Jutgla F. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,
64', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
78', Araujo M. 🟨,
81', Araujo M. ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
81', Tzolis C. ↓, Nielsen C. ↑,
83', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Nielsen C. ⚽, Vanaken H. (A),
87', Quenda G. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
90+1', De Cuyper M. ↓, Sabbe K. ↑,

Preview

Brugge in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sporting is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brugge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Brugge: Meijer B. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Calf Injury) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Morita H. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Debast Z. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brugge won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Including matches at home between the teams Brugge won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.12.24	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.24	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.11.24	Club Brugge - Dender EH	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Celtic - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.11.24	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTW
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
05.12.24	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Arsenal	1:5 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Amarante	6:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.11.24	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.19	Club Brugge - Sporting Lisbon	2:2

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