Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 28

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Lithuania	Sport 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fubo Latino
World	Onefootball


	Sporting Lisbon		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8	Watch
	1.35	4.7	8.8	Watch
	1.34	5.17	10
	1.34	5.21	9.31	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8.5
	1.39	5.13	8.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.24)	5 ↓ (5.61)	8.88 ↓ (13.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
70.4%

Draw
18.9%

Santa Clara
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Sporting Lisbon - Santa Clara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva R. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 72. Quaresma E. 6. Debast Z. 91. Mangas R. 23. Braganca D. (C) 5. Morita H. 10. Catamo G. 17. Trincao 8. Goncalves P. 90. Nel R.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 42. Lucas Soares 23. Lima S. 94. Silva H. 5. Guilherme Romao 35. Serginho 8. Ferreira P. 77. Gustavo Klismahn 49. Welinton Torrao 26. Fernando 10. Gabriel Silva
Substitutes
20. Araujo M. 26. Diomande O. 15. Faye S. 58. Goncalves F. 42. Hjulmand M. 25. Inacio G. 14. Kochorashvili G. 52. Simoes J. 12. Virginia J. (G)	11. Brenner 37. Darlan 2. Diogo Calila 12. Neneca (G) 39. Paciencia G. 64. Paulo Victor 65. Tavares J. 21. Venancio F. 70. Vinicius Lopes
Coaches
Borges R.	Petit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gustavo Klismahn ⚽, Fernando (A),
22', 1 - 1, Goncalves P. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Trincao 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Braganca D. ⚽, Nel R. (A),
42', 3 - 1, Trincao ⚽, Morita H. (A),
44', Ferreira P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Goncalves P. ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
59', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
59', Welinton Torrao ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
60', Braganca D. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
68', Mangas R. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
68', Morita H. ↓, Hjulmand M. ↑,
71', Silva H. ↓, Brenner ↑,
71', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Darlan ↑,
75', Simoes J. 🟨,
76', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
77', Fernando ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
85', Petit 🟨,
88', Catamo G. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Paciencia G. ⚽, Brenner (A),
90', Tavares J. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 2, Nel R. ⚽, Quaresma E. (A),
90+7', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
90+7', Paciencia G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:13. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
3	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12:4	8	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
22.03.26	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Bodø Glimt	5:0 ET ✺
11.03.26	Bodø Glimt - Sporting Lisbon	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.03.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
03.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLTW
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
21.03.26	Santa Clara - Gil Vicente	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	AVS - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
18.12.25	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	2:3 ET
Liga Portugal
08.11.25	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	1:2
12.04.25	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
Taça de Portugal
18.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Santa Clara	2:1 ET
Liga Portugal
30.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Santa Clara	0:1
01.04.23	Sporting Lisbon - Santa Clara	3:0
08.10.22	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	1:2

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