Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Coalville Town		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	2
	2.4	3.75	2.4
	3.12	3.78	2.06
	3.12	3.78	2.06
	3.02	3.9	2.08
	2.4	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.42)	3.74 ↓ (3.77)	2.17 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
32.6%

Draw
24.7%

AFC Telford United
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

24.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coalville Town's form might have worsened.

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coalville Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Gibson M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Pennant T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', 1 - 2, Pendley O. ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, Styche R. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 4, Styche R. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Telford is Qualified for Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs )

Coalville is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Telford in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Telford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coalville won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
20.04.24	Kettering Town - Coalville Town	1:0 ✺
16.04.24	Coalville Town - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Coalville Town - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sudbury Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Mickleover Sports - Coalville Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTWLL
- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
20.04.24	AFC Telford United - Berkhamsted	6:2 ✺
13.04.24	Long Eaton United - AFC Telford United	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	AFC Telford United - Leamington	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	AFC Telford United - Redditch United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.01.24	AFC Telford United - Coalville Town	1:1
English FA Cup
02.09.23	AFC Telford United - Coalville Town	0:1

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