Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Central Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Coalville Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.46	4.99	5.3
	1.47	4.99	5.3
	1.45	4.41	6.06
	1.45	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)	4.61 ↑ (4.08)	5.53 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
63.3%

Draw
20%

Alvechurch
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

18.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coalville Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Coalville Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Thorndike F. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Chambers A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 1, Chambers A. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coalville won 4.

Recent matches Coalville is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvechurch is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Coalville is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Coalville won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.24	Sudbury Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Mickleover Sports - Coalville Town	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Coalville Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
26.03.24	Coalville Town - Mickleover Sports	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Halesowen Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.24	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Halesowen Town - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alvechurch - Mickleover Sports	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Alvechurch - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
05.12.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	1:4
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:1
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:3
13.08.22	Coalville Town - Alvechurch	4:1
04.01.22	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	1:1
14.09.21	Coalville Town - Alvechurch	3:1
13.04.19	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	5:0

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