Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Needham Market		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.37
	2.4	3.6	2.45
	2.4	3.97	2.46
	2.4	3.97	2.47
	2.43	3.48	2.48
	2.4	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.86)	3.69 ↓ (3.7)	2.45 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
37.9%

Draw
24.8%

Coalville Town
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

23.3%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Needham Market's form might have worsened.

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coalville Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Needham Market, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coalville Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Needham Market - Coalville Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Needham won 1.

Needham in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Coalville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Needham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Needham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
05.12.23	Needham Market - Leamington	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Barwell - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Needham Market - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Mickleover Sports - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
07.11.23	Needham Market - Berkhamsted	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTW
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.12.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	1:4 ✺
02.12.23	Stratford Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Coalville Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Coalville Town - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
19.08.23	Coalville Town - Needham Market	1:6
28.03.23	Needham Market - Coalville Town	0:0
26.11.22	Coalville Town - Needham Market	1:0
16.04.22	Needham Market - Coalville Town	0:1
28.08.21	Coalville Town - Needham Market	2:0
11.02.20	Coalville Town - Needham Market	0:1
23.03.19	Needham Market - Coalville Town	1:1

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