Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Chile	Chilevision, ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sport 1+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app


	Junior Barranquilla		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3	3.6
	2.3	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.7
	2.31	2.91	3.66	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.25	3.14	3.59	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.88)	3 ↓ (3.4)	3.54 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
41.8%

Draw
31.5%

Colo-Colo
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

29.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Junior Barranquilla's form might have worsened.

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colo-Colo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Junior Barranquilla - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mele S. (G) 3. Herrera E. 18. Olivera E. 28. Pena J. 12. Fuentes G. 6. Moreno D. 24. Cantillo V. 99. Enamorado J. 10. Gonzalez L. 90. Moreno Y. 70. Bacca C.	1. Cortes B. (G) 22. Isla M. 15. Amor E. 37. Falcon M. 21. Wiemberg E. 7. Carlos Palacios 8. Pavez E. (C) 34. Pizarro V. 11. Bolados M. 9. Correa J. 32. Cepeda L.
Substitutes
7. Berrio L. 19. Cantillo C. 88. Castrillon B. 8. Chara Y. 25. Colorado A. 80. Hinojosa R. 30. Martinez J. (G) 15. Mosquera Moreno Y. 5. Perez R. 16. Quintero Y. 23. Rodriguez S. 33. Zalazar N.	19. Castellani G. 30. De Paul F. (G) 5. Gil L. 33. Gonzalez R. 3. Gutierrez D. 16. Opazo Lara O. 20. Oroz A. 29. Paiva G. 17. Riquelme C. 28. Soto L. 23. Vidal A. 14. Zavala C.
Coaches
Reyes A.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Pena J. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
37', Cortes B. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Cepeda L. ⚽, Wiemberg E. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Bacca C. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Correa J. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
57', Bolados M. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
64', Gonzalez L. ↓, Hinojosa R. ↑,
68', Pavez E. 🟨,
71', Carlos Palacios ↓, Gil L. ↑,
71', Cepeda L. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Falcon M. ⚽,
76', Cantillo V. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
77', Enamorado J. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
81', Pizarro V. 🟨,
82', Perez R. 🟥,
84', Pavez E. ↓, Vidal A. ↑,
89', Olivera E. 🟨,
89', Almiron J. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Junior is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colo-Colo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Junior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Colo-Colo have a series of home games.

Junior will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Junior won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
17.08.24	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.24	Colo-Colo - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.08.24	Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTW
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
16.08.24	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.24	Colo-Colo - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
10.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
13.08.24	Colo-Colo - Junior Barranquilla	1:0

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