Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 14

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador (El Salvador)


	Cobresal		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.79	3.53	2.62
	2.57	3.59	2.52	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.45
	2.69	3.38	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.4)	3.44 ↑ (3.29)	2.47 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cobresal
35%

Draw
27.2%

Ñublense
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ñublense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cobresal - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Ñublense will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ñublense: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cobresal (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobresal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Santander A. (G) 18. Moreno C. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 16. Bechtholdt F. 23. Pacheco G. 22. Astudillo A. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 5. Nadruz A. 15. Castillo A. 8. Pino S. 11. Brea J.	1. Perez N. (G) 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 4. Bosso Torres O. 15. Valencia S. 8. Graciani G. 35. Mansilla C. 10. Plaza M. 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. (C) 20. Jeraldino I. 19. Tapia I.
Substitutes
32. Frias F. 17. Fuentes J. 1. Gonzalez Renato (G) 14. Huerta R. 24. Ramirez B. 4. Sandoval R. 21. Sepulveda M. 6. Valencia E. 13. Valenzuela B.	6. Calderon P. 18. Cespedes D. 11. Molina Canto L. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 9. Rami F. 13. Saavedra D. 16. Sanhueza D. 22. Valdes A.
Coaches
Huerta G.	Ribera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Jeraldino I. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Mansilla C. 🟨,
45+5', Pino S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Astudillo A. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
46', Moreno C. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
53', Mansilla C. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
64', Plaza M. ↓, Valdes A. ↑,
64', Tapia I. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
71', Nadruz A. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
77', Perez N. 🟨,
79', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
79', Graciani G. ↓, Calderon P. ↑,
84', Campusano J. 🟨,
87', Bechtholdt F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nublense	23	8	8	7	28:31	-3	32
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
23.05.26	Audax Italiano - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Cobresal - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
09.05.26	Cobresal - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Ñublense - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.04.26	Everton de Viña - Cobresal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
23.05.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	6:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
10.05.26	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Ñublense - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.04.26	Ñublense - OHiggins	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
02.05.26	Ñublense - Cobresal	2:0
21.03.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
07.12.25	Ñublense - Cobresal	5:0
22.06.25	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1
14.09.24	Ñublense - Cobresal	1:0
20.04.24	Cobresal - Ñublense	2:2
06.08.23	Ñublense - Cobresal	1:2

Upcoming Matches