Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Xelajú		Deportivo Achuapa

	1	X	2
	1.22	4.95	11
	1.26	5.15	15.34
	1.23	5.34	14.69	Watch
	1.25	4.6	12
	1.23	4.7	13.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.49)	4.95 ↑ (3.77)	13.25 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
74.4%

Draw
18.6%

Deportivo Achuapa
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

24%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xelajú's performance.

Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Achuapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xelajú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Achuapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Xelajú will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xelajú (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva D. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 26. Cardoza E. 28. de Oliveira C. 7. Diaz Y. 14. Gonzalez J. 70. Jaen Y. 10. Lopez A. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 30. Romero M. 25. Ruiz K.	27. Ruiz L. (G) 11. Castillo K. 13. Castrillo C. 30. Corado J. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 8. de Leon I. 91. Matta A. 20. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C. 21. Suazo D. 25. Tiul K.
Substitutes
23. Calderon R. 11. Cardenas S. 16. Cardona J. 6. de Leon M. 29. Escobar J. 22. Lobos N. (G) 77. Longo J. 24. Marquez R. 13. Tebalan W.	. Acosta D. 19. Betancourt S. 24. Bol E. . Carias P. 10. Macal E. 23. Martir A. 17. Mejia C. 14. Nunez K. 37. Perez Sarceno B. E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Cardoza E. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Quezada Gamez H. E. ⚽,
33', Lopez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castillo K. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
46', Tiul K. ↓, Nunez K. ↑,
46', Corado J. ↓, Bol E. ↑,
46', de Oliveira C. ↓, Tebalan W. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Quezada Gamez H. E. ⚽,
61', Nunez K. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
62', Diaz Y. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
67', Diaz Y. ↓, Longo J. ↑,
67', Gonzalez J. ↓, Calderon R. ↑,
74', Suazo D. 🟨,
76', Quezada Gamez H. E. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
80', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', Santos C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 0.

Recent performances by Xelajú have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Achuapa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Achuapa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Xelajú is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.04.26	Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Xelajú - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Marquense - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLTW
- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.04.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Mictlán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	0:0
08.11.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0
07.09.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	4:1
05.03.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	0:3
19.01.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	2:0
26.10.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
11.08.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	0:0

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