Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Colón		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	4
	1.9	3.3	4
	1.85	3.45	4.1
	1.87	3.3	4.2
	1.91	3.53	4.39
	1.83	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.44	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)	3.39 ↑ (3.24)	4.18 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
49.9%

Draw
27.7%

Cerro Porteño
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

30.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	22.2%	18.5%

Colón - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colón: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Colón is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cerro Porteño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerro Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colón is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Colón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Colón	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.04.22	Colón - Estudiantes La Plata	2:2 ✺
19.04.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Colón	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Colón - Independiente	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTTT
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.04.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
21.04.22	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	2:0 ✺
17.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
12.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Colón	3:1
Copa Sudamericana
27.09.12	Colón - Cerro Porteño	1:2

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