Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Cerro Porteño		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.86	3.2	4.5
	1.88	3.1	4.5
	1.88	3.36	4.79
	1.83	3	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.34	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2)	3.2 (3.2)	4.49 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
50.1%

Draw
29.1%

Peñarol de Montevideo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	26.1%	17.4%

Cerro Porteño - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.04.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
21.04.22	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	2:0 ✺
17.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Colón	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.04.22	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWT
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.04.22	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Cerrito - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.04.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.04.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.22	Colón - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Bandes
16.01.16	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Porteño	1:0

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