Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 32

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)


	Carlisle United		Colchester United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.37
				Watch
	3.04	3.22	2.47
				Watch
	3	3.1	2.45
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.78)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	2.43 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
31.5%

Draw
29.7%

Colchester United
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Carlisle United - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Breeze G. (G) 24. Williams J. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 22. McArthur C. 43. Whelan C. 42. Patching W. 39. Wearne S. 44. Embleton E. 40. Harris K. 17. Hugill J.	1. Macey M. (G) 18. Egbo M. 4. Kelleher F. 6. Flanagan T. (C) 3. Iandolo E. 15. McDonnell J. 8. Bishop T. 7. Anderson H. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 33. Taylor L.
Substitutes
37. Bevan J. 19. Dennis M. 3. Harper C. 6. Hayden A. 1. Lewis H. (G) 7. Robson E. 20. Scott C.	27. Aboh K. 11. Gordon J. 16. Read A. 17. Simpson T. 12. Smith T. (G) 22. Tucker J. 30. Vincent-Young K.
Coaches
Hughes M	Cowley D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', McDonnell J. 🟨,
31', Patching W. 🟨,
41', McArthur C. 🟨,
45', Williams J. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McArthur C. ↓, Hayden A. ↑,
46', Hugill J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
62', Patching W. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
62', Embleton E. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
69', Egbo M. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
74', Edwards O. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
81', Bishop T. ↓, Read A. ↑,
82', Taylor L. ↓, Simpson T. ↑,
90+3', Simpson T. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Cali could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English League Two
11.02.25	Newport County - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Grimsby Town - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Carlisle United - Swindon Town	1:5 ✺
28.01.25	Notts County - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLLW
- Colchester United
English League Two
08.02.25	Colchester United - Walsall	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Tranmere Rovers - Colchester United	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Colchester United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
21.01.25	Harrogate Town - Colchester United	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bromley - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.10.24	Colchester United - Carlisle United	0:0
18.02.23	Carlisle United - Colchester United	1:0
06.08.22	Colchester United - Carlisle United	1:1
12.02.22	Colchester United - Carlisle United	2:2
07.08.21	Carlisle United - Colchester United	0:0
02.03.21	Colchester United - Carlisle United	2:1
17.10.20	Carlisle United - Colchester United	3:2

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