The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 56.3%
Draw 25.3%
Accrington Stanley 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.4%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
25.5%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
25%
16.7%
Colchester United - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 40. Terry F. 30. Vincent-Young K. 16. Read A. 25. Barbrook F. 7. Anderson H. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W.
13. Wright O. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 5. Rawson F. 17. Matthews D. 3. Sass F. 24. Butterfield L. 6. Coyle L. 7. Whalley S. (C) 11. Sinclair I. 39. Woods J. 20. Brown C.
Substitutes
27. Akachukwu R. 22. Back F. 46. Chamberlain H. (G) 44. Kuffour S. 14. Lisbie K. 9. Tovide S. 17. Williams J.
28. Conneely S. 26. Hall C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 8. Madden P. 22. Martin D. 31. Tunstall F.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Goodwin W. 🟨,
31', Read A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Whalley S. ⚽, Matthews D. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Goodwin W. ⚽, Edwards O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Woods J. 🟨,
64', Vincent-Young K. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
72', Hunt R. 🟨,
76', Barbrook F. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
76', Goodwin W. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
78', Whalley S. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Payne J. ⚽, Akachukwu R. (A),
89', Edwards O. ↓, Kuffour S. ↑,
90+7', Tucker J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Colchester is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Accrington: Hall C.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Anderson H.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J.
(Inactive)
Grant C.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Colchester: 3.34% Accrington: 0.97%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Accrington
9
2
4
3
13:14
-1
10
19
Colchester
8
2
4
2
10:12
-2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 4.25 are the expected chance of winning is 21.59%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Macey M. (G) 
Vincent-Young K. 
O'Brien C. 
Butterfield L. 
Coyle L. 
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