The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 25.9%
Draw 27.3%
Crewe Alexandra 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
27.6%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
27.1%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Wright O. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 5. Rawson F. 2. Love D. 3. Sass F. 28. Conneely S. (C) 22. Martin D. 7. Whalley S. 11. Sinclair I. 39. Woods J. 23. Walton T.
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 25. Pond A. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 17. Holicek M. 6. Sanders M. H. 26. O'Reilly T. 20. Agius C. 24. March J. 36. Tezgel E.
Substitutes
27. Abimbola D. 20. Brown C. 24. Butterfield L. 6. Coyle L. 26. Hall C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 8. Madden P.
9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 18. Connolly J. 14. Finney C. 32. Moore L. 23. Powell J. 29. Thibaut A.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', March J. 🟨,
45+2', Sass F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Sass F. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Conneely S. ⚽, Martin D. (A),
57', Holicek M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
57', March J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
62', Conneely S. 🟨,
77', Tezgel E. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
78', Walton T. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
78', Conneely S. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
87', Love D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
Accrington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Crewe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Crewe could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Back Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Thomas C.
(Inactive)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Inactive)
Heath I.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Crewe: 3.91% Accrington: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Crewe
10
4
6
0
12:7
5
18
15
Accrington
10
2
5
3
13:14
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.93%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Wright O. (G) 
O'Brien C. 
Love D. 
Holicek M. 
Agius C. 
Coyle L. 
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