The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 29.7%
Draw 29%
Fleetwood Town 41.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.9%
28%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
27%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
13. Wright O. (G) 2. Love D. 5. Rawson F. 17. Matthews D. 3. Sass F. 28. Conneely S. (C) 6. Coyle L. 7. Whalley S. 22. Martin D. 8. Madden P. 11. Sinclair I.
13. Lynch J. (G) 2. Bennett R. 35. Haughey C. 5. Potter F. 20. Neal H. 16. Ennis E. 6. Bonds E. (C) 10. Helm M. 24. Clark M. 9. Davies W. 17. Evans C.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 24. Butterfield L. 26. Hall C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 31. Tunstall F. 39. Woods J.
4. Bolton J. 15. Davies J. 29. Devonport O. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 38. McLean C. 7. Osong D. E. 22. Powell J.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Lawlor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Davies W. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽, Ennis E. (A),
23', Love D. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Conneely S. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Woods J. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
67', Haughey C. 🟨,
71', Haughey C. ↓, Bolton J. ↑,
71', Neal H. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
72', Matthews D. 🟨,
80', Davies W. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
81', Madden P. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Osong D. E. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
90+3', Ennis E. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
90+4', Coyle L. 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 0.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Fleetwood could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Accrington: Abimbola D.
(Red Card)
Walton T.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Head Injury)
McCann L.
(Injury)
Rooney S.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Inactive)
Heath I.
(Inactive)
Henderson A.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Mullarkey T.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Accrington
13
4
6
3
22:16
6
18
18
Fleetwood
13
3
5
5
15:17
-2
14
Outrights of English League Two for now
Accrington: 1.01%
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.93%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Fleetwood Town - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.02%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.