The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 23.2%
Draw 26.4%
Chesterfield 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
26.9%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
26.4%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 45% – 100%.
13. Wright O. (G) 2. Love D. 5. Rawson F. 17. Matthews D. 38. O'Brien C. 28. Conneely S. (C) 22. Martin D. 20. Brown C. 11. Sinclair I. 7. Whalley S. 39. Woods J.
23. Boot R. (G) 29. Curtis S. 6. McFadzean K. 26. Swinkels S. 2. Owolabi-Belewu M. 4. Naylor T. (C) 36. Braybrooke S. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 25. Dickson W. 28. Berry-McNally J.
Substitutes
27. Abimbola D. 26. Hall C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 3. Sass F. 25. Smith J. 31. Tunstall F. 23. Walton T.
10. Bonis L. 17. Dobra A. 44. Donacien J. 11. Duffy D. 22. Dunkley C. 1. Hemming Z. (G) 7. Mandeville L.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
28', Whalley S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Martin D. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Dickson W. ⚽, Naylor T. (A),
66', Sinclair I. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
71', Dickson W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
77', Conneely S. ↓, Walton T. ↑,
85', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
86', Martin D. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
90+2', Naylor T. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
90+2', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
Accrington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Chesterfield has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Chesterfield is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Heath I.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 2.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Chesterfield: 9.07% Accrington: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chesterfield
10
4
3
3
17:14
3
15
15
Accrington
10
2
5
3
13:14
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.85%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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Wright O. (G) 
Love D. 
O'Brien C. 
Swinkels S. 
Owolabi-Belewu M. 
Stirk R. 
Bonis L. 
Dobra A. 
Donacien J. 
Dunkley C. 
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