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Current Win Probability
Harrogate Town 32.1%
Draw 27.9%
Colchester United 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
27.9%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
26.8%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harrogate Town's performance.
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harrogate Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Harrogate Town - Colchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Oxley M. (G) 24. Cass L. 20. Faulkner B. 31. Heffernan C. 3. Slater J. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. (C) 19. Hill T. 17. Sutton L. 22. Smith R. 10. Bennett M.
1. Macey M. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 40. Terry F. 3. Iandolo E. 25. Barbrook F. 16. Read A. 7. Anderson H. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W.
Substitutes
12. Acquah E. 38. Brenan T. 6. Burrell W. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 30. Gibson L. 7. Thomson G. 33. Waller S. (G)
27. Akachukwu R. 46. Chamberlain H. (G) 6. Flanagan T. 14. Lisbie K. 9. Tovide S. 30. Vincent-Young K. 17. Williams J.
Coaches
Weaver S.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Iandolo E. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
35', Bennett M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Evans J. 🟨,
48', Hill T. 🟨,
55', Bennett M. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
55', Hill T. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
55', Sutton L. ↓, Brenan T. ↑,
65', Edwards O. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
66', Goodwin W. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
66', Payne J. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
70', Heffernan C. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
76', Brenan T. 🟨,
77', Anderson H. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
87', Lisbie K. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 0, Slater J. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3.
Harrogate is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Colchester is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Colchester has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Colchester: Araujo H.
(Broken cheekbone)
Flanagan T.
(Inactive)
Mbick M.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
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Oxley M. (G) 
Heffernan C. 
Hill T. 
Duke-McKenna S. 
Flanagan T. 
Vincent-Young K. 
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