Match Info

National League - Round 25

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Portugal	DAZN / App
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Serbia	DAZN
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Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
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Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
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Vietnam	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6
	1.41	4.85	6.1
	1.41	4.82	6.54	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6
	1.35	4.75	6.74
	1.41	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	4.75 ↑ (4.55)	6.31 ↑ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
66.1%

Draw
19.4%

Morecambe
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.2%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

20.6%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Morecambe aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Carlisle United - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Morecambe (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 50%). Morecambe (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 14. Embleton E. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 18. Ellis J. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 22. Williams J. 29. Armstrong L. 21. Jones J. 10. Linney R.	40. Blackman J. (G) 28. Sutton E. 5. Kacurri M. 14. Sesay A. (C) 6. Francillette L. 36. Nolan J. 33. Raikhy A. 8. Azeez M. 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B. 12. Aarons R.
Substitutes
7. Ajiboye D. 9. Kelly G. 25. Lewis H. (G) 26. Mugabi B. 15. Murray S. 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.	3. Conte R. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 17. Lewis P. 1. Mair A. (G) 11. Muskwe A. 2. Payne L. 15. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Kacurri M. 🟨,
35', Linney R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Armstrong L. ⚽, Linney R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jones J. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
66', Aarons R. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
68', Embleton E. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
75', Raikhy A. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
76', Thomas G. ↓, Dixon-Bonner E. ↑,
77', Armstrong L. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
82', Francillette L. 🟨,
85', Tollitt B. 🟨,
86', Sutton E. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
86', Sesay A. ↓, Conte R. ↑,
90+6', Linney R. ↓, Mugabi B. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Carlisle has had a series of away games.

In this match, Carlisle is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
26.12.25	Gateshead - Carlisle United	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Harborough Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English National League
10.12.25	Carlisle United - Woking	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Blackpool - Carlisle United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLL
- Morecambe
English National League
26.12.25	Morecambe - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Brackley Town - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Morecambe - Boston United	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Braintree Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.04.25	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:2
26.12.24	Carlisle United - Morecambe	0:1
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Morecambe - Carlisle United	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:0
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:2
English League Two
06.03.21	Morecambe - Carlisle United	3:1
27.10.20	Carlisle United - Morecambe	3:1

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