Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 10

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Colegiales		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.3	3	3
	2.37	2.98	3.19
	2.37	2.98	3.19
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.38	2.96	3.13
	2.28	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.97)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	3.1 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
39.5%

Draw
31%

Deportivo Merlo
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colegiales's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Merlo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colegiales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colegiales - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Marra L. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Toloza N. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Colegiales won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera B
23.03.24	Sacachispas - Colegiales	1:4 ✺
16.03.24	Colegiales - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Acassuso - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Colegiales - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	UAI Urquiza - Colegiales	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTW
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
23.03.24	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Merlo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
05.08.23	Colegiales - Deportivo Merlo	0:2
08.04.23	Deportivo Merlo - Colegiales	3:1
02.10.22	Deportivo Merlo - Colegiales	0:1
05.06.22	Colegiales - Deportivo Merlo	1:0
11.10.21	Colegiales - Deportivo Merlo	2:1
15.06.21	Deportivo Merlo - Colegiales	1:3
23.08.15	Deportivo Merlo - Colegiales	0:2

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