Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Universitario de Deportes		Coquimbo Unido

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.98	2.98	4.25	Watch
	2.03	3.08	4.53
	1.95	3.28	4.26	Watch
	1.95	3	4
	2	3.23	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.26)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	4.21 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
47.7%

Draw
30%

Coquimbo Unido
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

30.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Deportes's performance.

Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coquimbo Unido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coquimbo Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	55.6%	16.7%

Universitario de Deportes - Coquimbo Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Coquimbo will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vargas M. (G) 24. Polo A. (C) 2. Fara C. 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 27. Carabali J. 99. Miguel Silveira 6. Castillo J. 17. Concha J. 20. Valera A. 90. Gassama S.	13. Sanchez D. (G) 17. Salinas F. 2. Gazzolo B. 3. Fernandez M. 16. Cornejo J. 8. Camargo A. 7. Galani S. (C) 15. Zavala C. 30. Chandia B. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 9. Johansen N.
Substitutes
26. Ancajima H. 10. Calcaterra H. 29. Corzo A. 8. Fertoli H. 19. Flores E. 33. Inga C. 23. Murrugarra J. 77. Reyna B. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 1. Romero D. (G) 4. Santamaria A.	28. Cabrera S. 14. Cordero S. 21. Dorador C. (G) 5. Escobar D. 1. Flores G. (G) 6. Glaby D. 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 12. Pratto L. 27. Riveros L. 18. Rodriguez P. 26. Soza L. 10. Vadala G.
Coaches
Rabanal J.	Caputto H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Zavala C. ⚽, Cornejo J. (A),
25', Di Benedetto M. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
33', Gassama S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zavala C. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Johansen N. ⚽, Chandia B. (A),
59', Gassama S. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
59', Miguel Silveira ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
64', Azocar Machuca A. E. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
64', Chandia B. ↓, Glaby D. ↑,
71', Riveros W. ↓, Santamaria A. ↑,
71', Carabali J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
73', Johansen N. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
80', Camargo A. ↓, Cordero S. ↑,
90+2', Santamaria A. 🟨,
90+3', Glaby D. 🟨,

Preview

Uni de Deportes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coquimbo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Uni de Deportes is the team to beat.

There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L. (Injury) Perez Guedes M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Coquimbo: Pereira D. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Coquimbo: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Universitario de Deportes - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.75%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Deportes Tolima - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
04.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTWL
- Coquimbo Unido
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Cobresal	3:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
29.03.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Huachipato - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.01.24	Universitario de Deportes - Coquimbo Unido	0:0

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