Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso (Coquimbo)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Coquimbo Unido		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.42	2.82	3.25	Watch
	2.44	2.89	3.58
	2.32	2.76	3.71	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.25	Watch
	2.49	2.87	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.4)	2.82 ↓ (3.02)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coquimbo Unido
39.2%

Draw
33.4%

Nacional Montevideo
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	55.6%	0%

Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Coquimbo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coquimbo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez D. (G) 17. Salinas F. 2. Gazzolo B. 3. Fernandez M. 16. Cornejo J. 8. Camargo A. 7. Galani S. (C) 15. Zavala C. 30. Chandia B. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 9. Johansen N.	25. Suarez I. (G) 77. Rodriguez N. 4. Coates S. (C) 2. Rogel A. 32. Viera T. 6. Boggio L. 23. Rodriguez L. 14. Lodeiro N. 30. Barcia B. 9. Gomez M. 20. Carneiro G.
Substitutes
19. Arancibia J. 28. Cabrera S. 14. Cordero S. 21. Dorador C. (G) 5. Escobar D. 1. Flores G. (G) 6. Glaby D. 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 12. Pratto L. 18. Rodriguez P. 26. Soza L. 23. Zepeda M.	34. Bais F. 40. Bianchi J. (G) 15. Calione P. 19. De Los Santos J. 10. dos Santos A. 39. Gonzalez L. 7. Lopez N. 24. Mereles E. 18. Nunez P. 5. Pintado J. 8. Vera M. 27. Veron T.
Coaches
Caputto H.	Bava J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Coates S. ⚽, Lodeiro N. (A),
45+2', Viera T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Carneiro G. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
57', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
60', Azocar Machuca A. E. ↓, Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↑,
60', Camargo A. ↓, Cordero S. ↑,
61', Lodeiro N. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
73', Gazzolo B. 🟨,
76', Chandia B. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
76', Johansen N. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
81', Barcia B. ↓, Veron T. ↑,
90', Cordero S. 🟨,
90+1', Gomez M. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
90+1', Viera T. ↓, Calione P. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,

Preview

Coquimbo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There are questionable in Coquimbo: Pereira D. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Coquimbo: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Coquimbo Unido - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.45%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
03.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Cobresal	3:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
29.03.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Huachipato - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.26	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Chile	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTL
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Central Español	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

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