Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Flores D. (Chi)


	Colo-Colo		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.8	7
	1.4	4.6	6.75
	1.41	4.87	8.22
	1.35	4.33	8
	1.38	4.9	7.8	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	4.68 ↑ (3.74)	7.47 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
67.4%

Draw
20%

Curicó Unido
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23.7%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colo-Colo's performance.

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curicó Unido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colo-Colo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Colo Colo - Curicó Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Curicó Unido will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colo-Colo won 2.

Recent matches Colo-Colo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Curicó Unido is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Colo-Colo is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Colo-Colo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Colo-Colo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
13.05.23	Unión Española - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
09.05.23	Colo-Colo - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.23	Colo-Colo - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.04.23	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Colo-Colo - Palestino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLTW
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
14.05.23	Curicó Unido - Palestino	0:1 ✺
09.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Curicó Unido - Everton de Viña	2:3 ✺
23.04.23	Cobresal - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
09.10.22	Colo-Colo - Curicó Unido	1:1
09.05.22	Curicó Unido - Colo-Colo	1:2
14.11.21	Curicó Unido - Colo-Colo	0:0
08.08.21	Colo-Colo - Curicó Unido	2:0
25.11.20	Colo-Colo - Curicó Unido	0:2
24.02.20	Curicó Unido - Colo-Colo	1:0
04.08.19	Colo-Colo - Curicó Unido	0:1

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