Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 2

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	05:30	K-Ball


	Mirassol		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.9
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.36	3.06	3.33	Watch
	3	3	2.4
	2.38	3.05	3.3	Watch
	2.4	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.16)	3.06 ↓ (3.24)	3.1 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
38.3%

Draw
31.1%

Fortaleza
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

29.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

29%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Mirassol - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Mirassol (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 3. Jemmes 34. Joao Victor 6. Reinaldo 25. Neto Moura 21. Jose Aldo 8. Danielzinho (C) 70. Daniel Fabricio 77. Iury Castilho 29. Clayson	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 14. Mancuso E. 13. Kuscevic B. 4. Titi (C) 6. Bruno Pacheco 17. Ze Welison 88. Lucas Sasha 22. Yago Pikachu 8. Emmanuel Martinez 21. Moises 18. Deyverson
Substitutes
10. Chico Kim 17. Cristian Renato 20. Daniel Borges 44. Gabriel 27. Gabriel 13. Luiz Filipe 99. Maceio 7. Matheus Davo 90. Thomazella (G) 22. Walter (G) 2. Wesley Santos	19. Allanzinho 77. Andrade K. 12. Brenno (G) 41. Bruninho 10. Calebe 23. David Luiz 16. Diogo Barbosa 5. Fernandez P. 39. Gustavo Mancha 9. Lucero J. 11. Marinho 20. Matheus Rossetto
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Emmanuel Martinez ⚽, Moises (A),
18', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
45', Clayson 🟨,
45+1', Mancuso E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Neto Moura ↓, Gabriel ↑,
61', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
66', Mancuso E. ↓, David Luiz ↑,
69', Moises ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
70', Iury Castilho ↓, Matheus Davo ↑,
70', Clayson ↓, Maceio ↑,
80', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
80', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
85', Lucas Ramon ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
89', Fernandez P. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Cristian Renato ⚽, Matheus Davo (A),
90+4', Cristian Renato 🟨,

Preview

Mirassol has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fortaleza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mirassol have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Matheus Bianqui (Injury) PH (Injury)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes (Forearm injury) Britez E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Tinga (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Cruzeiro - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.03.25	Corinthians - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Mirassol - Palmeiras	2:3 ✺
20.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	3:0 ✺
17.02.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fortaleza EC
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Fortaleza - Racing	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Fortaleza - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.25	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.03.25	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.03.25	Sousa - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTL

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