The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union 40%
Draw 26.8%
Columbus Crew 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
26.7%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
27.3%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Union's performance.
Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Columbus Crew might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
0%
42.9%
Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Columbus will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (C) 26. Harriel N. 2. Martinez G. 29. Makhanya O. 16. Bender B. 6. Sullivan C. 4. Lukic J. 21. Jean Jacques D. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
28. Schulte P. (G) 23. Farsi M. 4. Camacho R. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 31. Moreira S. 30. Picard H. 20. Gomes A. 17. Bangoura S. 27. Arfsten M. 10. Rossi D. 8. Gazdag D.
Substitutes
23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 37. Korzeniowski S. 15. Mbaizo O. 20. Ndinga P. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 66. Sundstrom F.
90. Akhundzade N. 7. Chambost D. 21. Cheberko Y. 16. Habroune T. 1. Hagen N. (G) 2. Herrera A. 45. Presthus O. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A.
Coaches
Carnell B.
Rydstrom H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Bender B. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Picard H. ⚽,
26', Iloski M. 🟨,
30', Camacho R. 🟨,
45+1', Makhanya O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lukic J. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
65', Damiani B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
66', Farsi M. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
66', Gomes A. ↓, Chambost D. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Anello A. (A),
80', Gazdag D. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
80', Bangoura S. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 0.
Philadelphia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Columbus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Philadelphia: Bueno J.
(Leg Injury)
Davis III E.
(Injury)
Sery Larsen J.
(Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
Westfield F.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Knee Injury)
Chambost D.
(Ankle Injury)
Thiare J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A.
(Knee Injury)
Lukic J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Columbus: Amundsen M.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Columbus Crew - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.71%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.