Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Llanelian Road (Old Colwyn)

Referee: Pratt N. (Wal)


	Colwyn Bay		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	2.75	3.25	2.35
	2.96	3.34	2.33
	2.97	3.34	2.33
	2.7	3.25	2.38
	2.9	3.3	2.32
	2.8	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.45)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	2.34 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colwyn Bay
32.5%

Draw
28.1%

Pontypridd United
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Colwyn Bay - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trueman R. (G) 24. Akpan U. 9. Cumming J. 29. Davies D. 2. Downes A. 6. Downey S. 19. Hart S. 12. Marsh-Hughes L. 8. McCready T. 4. Owen C. 26. Owen H.	1. Morris A. (G) 9. Ahmun B. 2. Cummings L. 4. Davies K. 29. Green C. 20. Jones O. 6. Knott J. 10. Lewis K. 5. Margetson B. 22. Pritchard O. 3. Vaughan E.
Substitutes
11. Atkins D. 22. Creamer T. 16. Cushion O. 3. Edwards S. 10. Hill M. 15. Mitter A. 43. Tyszko S. (G)	27. Bevan R. 21. Carty D. 11. Gullick L. 13. Jordan S. 35. Karadogan J. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Evans S.	Allen G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Marsh-Hughes L. ↓, Hill M. ↑,
19', 1 - 0, Owen H. ⚽,
42', Pritchard O. 🟨,
42', Ahmun B. 🟨,
45+1', Trueman R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Pritchard O. ↓, Karadogan J. ↑,
63', Jones O. ↓, Gullick L. ↑,
72', Davies D. ↓, Mitter A. ↑,
72', Knott J. ↓, Carty D. ↑,
90+3', Downes A. 🟨,

Preview

Colwyn Bay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pontypridd is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Colwyn Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
29.03.24	Colwyn Bay - Aberystwyth Town	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay	5:0 ✺
09.03.24	Barry Town United - Colwyn Bay	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Pontypridd United - Colwyn Bay	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTL
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru Premier
29.03.24	Pontypridd United - Haverfordwest County	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Pontypridd United - Barry Town United	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Pen-y-Bont - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Pontypridd United - Colwyn Bay	4:0 ✺
09.02.24	Haverfordwest County - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
24.02.24	Pontypridd United - Colwyn Bay	4:0
13.01.24	Colwyn Bay - Pontypridd United	2:3
19.11.23	Pontypridd United - Colwyn Bay	0:3

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