Match Info

WALES: CYMRU PREMIER - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 24

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Location: Bridge Meadow Stadium (Haverfordwest)

Referee: Markham-Jones B. (Wal)


	Haverfordwest County		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.95	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.63
	1.98	3.43	3.73
	1.83	3.4	3.6
	1.92	3.46	3.72
	1.94	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)	3.41 (3.41)	3.65 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haverfordwest County
47.9%

Draw
26.9%

Pontypridd United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Haverfordwest County - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jones Z. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 9. Fawcett B. 10. Hawkins D. 15. Jenkins L. 2. Richards J. 28. Shephard C. 11. Taylor-Crossdale M. 7. Watts R. (C) 8. Whitmore K. 22. Wilson J.	31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 9. Ahmun B. 27. Bevan R. 2. Cummings L. 4. Davies K. 29. Green C. (C) 20. Jones O. 5. Margetson B. 22. Pritchard O. 3. Vaughan E. 16. Wright J.
Substitutes
17. Dyer R. 24. Humphreys I. 14. John H. 12. Knott I. (G) 19. Macnamara A. 25. Tabone L.	11. Gullick L. 32. Hancock K. 26. Lewis A. 10. Lewis K. 1. Morris A. (G) 38. Stephens J. 19. Young O.
Coaches
Pennock T.	Allen G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Haverfordwest won 1.

Haverfordwest is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pontypridd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Pontypridd have a series of guest games.

Haverfordwest will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Haverfordwest won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Haverfordwest won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
02.02.24	Aberystwyth Town - Haverfordwest County	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	2:3 ✺
30.12.23	Aberystwyth Town - Haverfordwest County	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Haverfordwest County - The New Saints	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.02.24	Barry Town United - Pontypridd United	0:3 ✺
13.01.24	Colwyn Bay - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
31.12.23	Pen-y-Bont - Pontypridd United	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.12.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontypridd United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
07.10.23	Pontypridd United - Haverfordwest County	2:0
11.08.23	Haverfordwest County - Pontypridd United	0:0
07.04.23	Haverfordwest County - Pontypridd United	2:0
25.02.23	Pontypridd United - Haverfordwest County	2:1
31.12.22	Haverfordwest County - Pontypridd United	1:1
26.12.22	Pontypridd United - Haverfordwest County	3:2
Welsh Division 1
15.12.18	Pontypridd United - Haverfordwest County	1:5

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