Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)


	Colón		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.7	2.95	2.75
	2.7	3	2.65
	2.85	3.05	2.83
	2.69	3.2	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.52)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	2.71 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
34.2%

Draw
31%

San Lorenzo
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

32.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

33.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.4%	73.5%	8.2%

Colón - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 9 - 18.4%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 36 - 73.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 61.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Colón has the most likely position - 25 (13.74%), has project points - 29, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

San Lorenzo has the most likely position - 12 (7.52%), has project points - 39, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 37, very small importance 3, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 3.

Colón is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Lorenzo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Colón: Vega C. (Injury)

There will not play in San Lorenzo: James J. (Injury) Ortigoza N. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Colón won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.09.22	Banfield - Colón	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Colón - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Barracas Central - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Colón - Tigre	2:1 ✺
16.08.22	Central Córdoba - Colón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.09.22	San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
05.09.22	Defensa y Justicia - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Racing - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
16.08.22	San Lorenzo - Platense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.10.21	San Lorenzo - Colón	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.02.21	Colón - San Lorenzo	2:0
19.12.20	San Lorenzo - Colón	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.19	Colón - San Lorenzo	2:1
23.03.19	Colón - San Lorenzo	1:1
Copa Argentina
07.09.18	San Lorenzo - Colón	3:2 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.09.17	San Lorenzo - Colón	0:0

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