Match Info

Segunda Division - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Colón Montevideo		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.98	3.7
	2.06	3	4.01
	2.25	3.04	3.29	Watch
	1.98	2.93	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.73 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
44.5%

Draw
30.8%

Deportivo Maldonado
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Colón Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Maldonado has had a series of home games.

Colón could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Colón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Colón Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Artigas - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Colón Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWT
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Artigas	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	1:1
11.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	0:2
20.07.25	Colón Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0
20.04.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	2:0

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