Match Info

Segunda Division - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Deportivo Maldonado		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.82	2.82
	2.54	2.82	3.08
	2.85	3.05	2.51	Watch
	2.47	2.81	2.94
	2.74	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.82)	2.9 ↓ (2.99)	2.77 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
35.2%

Draw
31.7%

Colón Montevideo
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

30.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.37%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Artigas	6:1 ✺
27.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWW
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Colón Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Artigas - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Colón Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	0:2
20.07.25	Colón Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0
20.04.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	2:0

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