Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Como		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.45
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.45	3.25	2.55
	2.7	2.95	2.49
	2.71	3.36	2.61
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.72	3.1	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.22)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.55 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
34.7%

Draw
29.4%

Carrarese
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

21%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Como's form might have worsened.

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrarese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Como that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Como - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Como is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Carrarese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carrarese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Como won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.20	Pontedera - Como	2:2 ✺
03.12.20	Pro Sesto - Como	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Como - Piacenza	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Como - Olbia	2:2 ✺
18.11.20	Como - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTTW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.20	Carrarese - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
29.11.20	Giana Erminio - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Carrarese - Olbia	3:0 ✺
14.11.20	Livorno - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Carrarese - Renate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.10.19	Carrarese - Como	2:0
01.04.17	Como - Carrarese	2:2
13.11.16	Carrarese - Como	3:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
27.04.14	Carrarese - Como	3:0
15.12.13	Como - Carrarese	1:1

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