Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 6
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports 2
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bolivia	09:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	08:00	ESPN 2
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Israel	16:00	Sport 3
Italy	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	18:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport OTT 6
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Paraguay	10:00	ESPN 2
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport OTT 6
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3, Orange Futbol 3
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Fiorentina		Como

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.30	3.60	2.10
	3.4	3.5	2.08	Watch
	3.55	3.73	2.09
	3.46	3.68	2.06	Watch
	3.45	3.65	2.04
	3.55	3.81	2.12
	3.5	3.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)	3.66 (3.66)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
27.7%

Draw
26.1%

Como
46.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

26%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

25.6%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.4%	8.5%	85.1%

Fiorentina - Como Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Como (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (C) 20. Jimenez A. 3. Dragusin R. 5. Pongracic M. 33. Viery 27. Ndour C. 44. Fagioli N. 30. Mastantuono F. 28. Pote 25. Njie A. 32. Pellegrino M.	1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 99. Chalobah T. 2. Kempf M. O. 3. Valle A. 6. Milla L. 7. Da Cunha L. (C) 30. Liberali M. 10. Paz N. 8. Caqueret M. 9. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
74. Ademi A. 23. Beto 4. Brescianini M. 53. Christensen O. (G) 2. Dodo 29. Gnonto W. 42. Inao Oulai C. 17. Joao Mario 19. Lezzerini L. (G) 72. Mazzeo B. 73. Pirro A. 21. Valdepenas V.	42. Addai J. 20. Baturina M. 27. Couto Y. 13. Dossena A. 18. Goldaniga E. 16. Kaiki 53. Kambwala W. 15. Lahdo A. 5. Perrone M. 4. Ramon J. 21. Ricci S. 17. Rodriguez J. 97. Sanchez R. (G) 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', Chalobah T. ↓, Ramon J. ↑,
28', Valle A. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Liberali M. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Paz N. ⚽, Valle A. (A),
39', Paz N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Pongracic M. ⚽,
45+3', Ramon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valle A. ↓, Kaiki ↑,
56', 1 - 3, Douvikas A. ⚽, Paz N. (A),
61', Paz N. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
63', Pote ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
64', Viery ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
68', Ndour C. 🟨,
69', Mastantuono F. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
69', Jimenez A. ↓, Dodo ↑,
69', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
79', Ndour C. ↓, Beto ↑,
83', Liberali M. ↓, Kambwala W. ↑,
83', Da Cunha L. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Serie B and 8th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Como may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Como is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Fiorentina: Mastantuono F. (Broken Hand) Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury).

Confirmed absences for Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Kean M. (Leg Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Fiorentina: Atta A. (Abdominal strain) Ranieri L. (Leg Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fiorentina against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:7 goals (averaging 0.7:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	9	20
18	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11:21	-10	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.87% Fiorentina: 0.18%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Fiorentina - Torino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWL
- Calcio Como
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Feyenoord - Como	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Como - Roma	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Frosinone - Como	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Como - Parma	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.02.26	Como - Fiorentina	1:2
Coppa Italia
27.01.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Fiorentina - Como	1:2
16.02.25	Fiorentina - Como	0:2
24.11.24	Como - Fiorentina	0:2

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