Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fiorentina		Como

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.86	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.95	3.7	1.9	Watch
	4.09	3.78	1.94
	3.79	3.8	1.92	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	4.15	3.74	1.88
	4	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.79)	3.65 ↑ (3.32)	1.91 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
24.4%

Draw
25.9%

Como
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.3%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

28.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18%	8%	74%

Fiorentina - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). Como will win (votes: 35 - 72.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 60.3% – 85.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Como (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fiorentina (2.70) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 12 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Fiorentina (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Como (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Como (votes: 20 - 69%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Christensen O. (G) 29. Fortini N. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 62. Balbo L. 80. Fabbian G. 27. Ndour C. 4. Brescianini M. 17. Harrison J. 91. Piccoli R. 22. Fazzini J.	1. Butez J. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 34. Diego Carlos 14. Ramon J. 18. Moreno A. 8. Roberto S. 6. Caqueret M. 19. Kuhn N. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
63. Bonanno P. 61. Braschi R. 43. de Gea D. (G) 64. Deli L. 44. Fagioli N. 21. Gosens R. 10. Gudmundsson A. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 67. Sadotti E. 19. Solomon M.	42. Addai J. 20. Baturina M. 56. De Paoli C. 2. Kempf M. O. 7. Morata A. 10. Paz N. 23. Perrone M. 58. Pisati S. 28. Smolcic I. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 3. Valle A. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Piccoli R. ⚽, Fabbian G. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Roberto S. ⚽, Diego Carlos (A),
28', Douvikas A. ↓, Paz N. ↑,
33', Brescianini M. 🟨,
38', Van der Brempt I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Van der Brempt I. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,
59', Diego Carlos 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Paz N. ⚽,
66', Piccoli R. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
66', Ndour C. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
66', Balbo L. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
70', Roberto S. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
70', Rodriguez J. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
73', Fazzini J. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
77', Paz N. 🟨,
79', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
81', Kuhn N. 🟨,
84', Comuzzo P. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
86', Paz N. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Morata A. ⚽, Kuhn N. (A),
90+4', Morata A. 🟨,

Preview

Fiorentina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Como is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Como could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Parisi F. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
24.01.26	Fiorentina - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Fiorentina - Milan	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Lazio - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Fiorentina - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWTTW
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
24.01.26	Como - Torino	6:0 ✺
19.01.26	Lazio - Como	0:3 ✺
15.01.26	Como - Milan	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Pisa - Como	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Fiorentina - Como	1:2
16.02.25	Fiorentina - Como	0:2
24.11.24	Como - Fiorentina	0:2

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