Match Info

Serie A - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, TV 360, VTVcab


	Como		Udinese

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.8
	1.82	3.55	4.45	Watch
	1.74	3.66	4.99	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.75
	1.85	3.63	5.01
	1.77	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.71)	3.6 ↓ (3.76)	4.75 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
53.6%

Draw
26.4%

Udinese
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

24.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.4%	15.4%	10.3%

Como - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Udinese will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 60.7% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Como (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Como (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Udinese (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Udinese (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 6. Caqueret M. 31. Vojvoda M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.	93. Padelli D. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 13. Bertola N. 59. Zanoli A. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 11. Kamara H. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
20. Baturina M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 99. Cerri A. 4. Dossena A. 19. Kuhn N. 55. Le Borgne A. 10. Paz N. 27. Posch S. 8. Roberto S. 28. Smolcic I. 3. Valle A. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	17. Bravo I. 29. Camara A. 19. Ehizibue K. 7. Gueye I. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 40. Okoye M. (G) 90. Sava R. (G) 28. Solet O. 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Da Cunha L. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Kamara H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kamara H. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
67', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
69', Caqueret M. ↓, Paz N. ↑,
70', Kabasele C. 🟨,
75', Kabasele C. ↓, Solet O. ↑,
75', Piotrowski J. ↓, Ehizibue K. ↑,
79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Kuhn N. ↑,
79', Moreno A. ↓, Valle A. ↑,
80', Zanoli A. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
85', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
86', Ehizibue K. 🟨,
89', Vojvoda M. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
90', Van der Brempt I. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).

Como has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Udinese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Como may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Como has had a series of away games.

In this match, Como is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Diego Carlos (Yellow Cards) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury) Morata A. (Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Atta A. (Thigh Injury) Bayo V. (International duty) Buksa A. (Calf Injury) Zemura J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Como: Addai J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Bravo I. (Muscle Injury) Goglichidze S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Como won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.45% Udinese: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3 ✺
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0 ✺
28.11.25	Como - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Torino - Como	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Udinese - Lazio	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Fiorentina - Udinese	5:1 ✺
14.12.25	Udinese - Napoli	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Udinese - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.01.25	Como - Udinese	4:1
01.09.24	Udinese - Como	1:0

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