Match Info

Serie A - Round 14

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect
Austria	18:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	ESPN
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	00:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Udinese		Genoa

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.58	2.98	3.05	Watch
	2.65	2.91	3.27
	2.51	2.99	3.19	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3.1
	2.59	3.06	3.31
	2.6	2.83	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.45)	2.94 ↓ (3.04)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
37.4%

Draw
32.6%

Genoa
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

32.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	38.5%	26.9%

Udinese - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Genoa will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 17.2% – 54.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Genoa (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Genoa (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Genoa (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 13. Bertola N. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 59. Zanoli A. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 24. Piotrowski J. 33. Zemura J. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.	1. Leali N. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 34. Otoa S. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 17. Malinovskyi R. 73. Masini P. 2. Thorsby M. 3. Martin A. 29. Colombo L. 9. Vitinha
Substitutes
15. Bayo V. 17. Bravo I. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 19. Ehizibue K. 2. Goglichidze S. 7. Gueye I. 31. Kristensen T. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 77. Modesto R. 93. Padelli D. (G) 16. Palma M. 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.	23. Carboni V. 70. Cornet M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 40. Fini S. 10. Junior Messias 42. Kumer Celik A. 35. Lysionok E. (G) 14. Onana J. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 8. Stanciu N. 76. Venturino L.
Coaches
Malecki P.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Zemura J. ↓, Modesto R. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Malinovskyi R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Vitinha ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Piotrowski J. ⚽, Modesto R. (A),
66', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
72', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
73', Zanoli A. ↓, Ehizibue K. ↑,
75', Colombo L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
76', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Norton-Cuffy B. ⚽, Ekuban C. (A),
86', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
86', Piotrowski J. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Udinese: Atta A. (Thigh Injury) Kamara H. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Fini S. (Red Card) Gronbaek A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Thigh Injury) Ekhator J. (Inactive) Ekuban C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Udinese - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLLW
- Genoa CFC
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Atalanta - Genoa	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Genoa - Verona	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cagliari - Genoa	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
03.11.25	Sassuolo - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.04.25	Genoa - Udinese	1:0
01.12.24	Udinese - Genoa	0:2
24.02.24	Genoa - Udinese	2:0
01.10.23	Udinese - Genoa	2:2
22.01.22	Genoa - Udinese	0:0
28.11.21	Udinese - Genoa	0:0
13.03.21	Genoa - Udinese	1:1

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