Match Info

Coppa Italia - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, ZAP
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	Inter Milan		Como

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.55	4.25	Watch
	1.89	3.65	4.44
	1.87	3.71	4.4	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.93	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)	3.62 ↓ (3.86)	4.32 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
51.5%

Draw
26.4%

Como
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

27.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	9.5%	19%

Inter Milan - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Como will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martinez J. (G) 25. Akanji M. 15. Acerbi F. 30. Carlos Augusto 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. (C) 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Zielinski P. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 14. Bonny A.	1. Butez J. (G) 14. Ramon J. 34. Diego Carlos 2. Kempf M. O. 77. Van der Brempt I. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 3. Valle A. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
51. Alexiou C. 31. Bisseck Y. 36. Darmian M. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 2. Dumfries D. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 48. Mosconi M. 1. Sommer Y. (G) 8. Sucic P.	6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 56. De Paoli C. 38. Diao A. 5. Goldaniga E. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 18. Moreno A. 58. Pisati S. 17. Rodriguez J. 28. Smolcic I. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Chivu C.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Baturina M. ⚽, Van der Brempt I. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Da Cunha L. ⚽, Paz N. (A),
60', Dimarco F. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
60', Zielinski P. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Calhanoglu H. ⚽, Sucic P. (A),
70', Douvikas A. ↓, Diao A. ↑,
70', Da Cunha L. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
74', Bonny A. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
74', Acerbi F. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
80', Baturina M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
80', Van der Brempt I. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,
84', Luis Henrique ↓, Dumfries D. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Calhanoglu H. ⚽, Sucic P. (A),
89', 3 - 2, Sucic P. ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
90', Diego Carlos ↓, Morata A. ↑,
90+4', Perrone M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 4.

Inter is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Como has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Inter is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Roberto S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Bastoni A. (Leg Injury) Bisseck Y. (Thigh Injury) Martinez L. (Injury)

We predict that Inter will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Inter won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
17.04.26	Inter Milan - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Como - Inter Milan	3:4 ✺
05.04.26	Inter Milan - Roma	5:2 ✺
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inter Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
17.04.26	Sassuolo - Como	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Como - Inter Milan	3:4 ✺
06.04.26	Udinese - Como	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Como - Pisa	5:0 ✺
15.03.26	Como - Roma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Como - Inter Milan	3:4
Coppa Italia
03.03.26	Como - Inter Milan	0:0
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0
23.05.25	Como - Inter Milan	0:2
23.12.24	Inter Milan - Como	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.12	Como - Inter Milan	N/A

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