Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1, Sport 3
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	18:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	00:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
Vietnam	00:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Fiorentina		Udinese

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.3
	2.12	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.27	3.34	3.45
	2.11	3.25	3.76	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.24	3.3	3.77
	2.1	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.96)	3.22 ↓ (3.6)	3.63 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
44.1%

Draw
29.6%

Udinese
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

25.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Fiorentina - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 44 - 68.8%). Udinese will win (votes: 10 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 57.4% – 80.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.07) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Udinese (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Udinese (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (21 of 28 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 22 - 68.8%). Udinese (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (C) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. 2. Dodo 27. Ndour C. 44. Fagioli N. 8. Mandragora R. 65. Parisi F. 10. Gudmundsson A. 20. Kean M.	40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 59. Zanoli A. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 13. Bertola N. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
9. Dzeko E. 29. Fortini N. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 99. Kouame C. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 30. Martinelli T. (G) 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 91. Piccoli R. 24. Richardson A. 7. Sohm S. 26. Viti M.	17. Bravo I. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 19. Ehizibue K. 2. Goglichidze S. 7. Gueye I. 11. Kamara H. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 16. Palma M. 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', Okoye M. 🟥,
10', Kabasele C. ↓, Sava R. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. ⚽, Fagioli N. (A),
39', Zanoli A. 🟨,
40', Parisi F. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson A. ⚽, Parisi F. (A),
45+5', 3 - 0, Ndour C. ⚽, Fagioli N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Zaniolo N. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,
46', Zanoli A. ↓, Kamara H. ↑,
53', Mandragora R. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
56', 4 - 0, Kean M. ⚽,
65', Ranieri L. 🟨,
65', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
66', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Solet O. ⚽, Piotrowski J. (A),
68', 5 - 1, Kean M. ⚽, Dodo (A),
71', Parisi F. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
71', Kean M. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
82', Comuzzo P. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
82', Fagioli N. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
85', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.

Fiorentina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Udinese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fiorentina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Atta A. (Thigh Injury) Bayo V. (International duty) Modesto R. (International duty) Zemura J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Kamara H. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Fiorentina - Verona	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Udinese - Napoli	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Udinese - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.05.25	Udinese - Fiorentina	2:3
23.12.24	Fiorentina - Udinese	1:2
14.01.24	Fiorentina - Udinese	2:2
24.09.23	Udinese - Fiorentina	0:2
14.05.23	Fiorentina - Udinese	2:0
31.08.22	Udinese - Fiorentina	1:0
27.04.22	Fiorentina - Udinese	0:4

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