Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Concarneau		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3
	2.35	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.27	3.19
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.3	3.34	3.05	Watch
	2.32	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.43)	3.29 ↑ (3.14)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
40.3%

Draw
28.5%

Dunkerque
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Concarneau - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Salles E. (G) 4. Janez G. (C) 12. Celestine J. 3. Wahib A. 33. Faussurier J. 15. Bares G. 17. Etuin M. 11. Urie A. 21. Chadli N. 14. Ba P. I. 9. Ndombasi N.	16. Balijon A. (G) 7. Bilingi Y. 26. Sangante O. 23. Gambor H. 28. Thiam D. (C) 5. Boissier R. 10. Anziani J. 20. Bardeli E. 19. Youssouf B. 29. Orelien A. 11. Ba-Sy A.
Substitutes
7. Matondo I. 18. Merdji Y. 20. Mouazan B. 28. Paro I. 1. Pattier M. (G) 6. Phliponeau A. 23. Sans R.	4. Fernandez N. 21. Gnanduillet A. 17. Ipiele A. 8. Keita T. 1. Lavallee L. (G) 13. Senneville C. 22. Trichard D.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Castro L.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 2.

Recent matches Concarneau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dunkerque is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dunkerque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
30.09.23	Angers - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Concarneau - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:3 ✺
02.09.23	Concarneau - Annecy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLWT
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
04.10.23	Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Dunkerque - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Dunkerque - Rodez	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Dunkerque - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Ajaccio - Dunkerque	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
20.01.23	Concarneau - Dunkerque	0:1
19.08.22	Dunkerque - Concarneau	0:1
01.11.19	Dunkerque - Concarneau	2:0
11.01.19	Dunkerque - Concarneau	3:0
11.08.18	Concarneau - Dunkerque	2:1
09.03.18	Concarneau - Dunkerque	2:1
29.09.17	Dunkerque - Concarneau	2:0

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