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Current Win Probability
Concarneau 39.3%
Draw 29.7%
Le Puy 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.1%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
29.8%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Le Puy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Concarneau - Le Puy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (G) 27. Halby J. 4. Jannez G. (C) 6. Seba D. 5. Etcheverria B. 26. Sinquin T. 8. Picouleau M. 11. Soukouna Y. 23. Goujon L. 10. Gbelle G. 21. Baldoni S.
30. Carvalho M. (G) 5. Zogba M. (C) 25. Mohamed I. 17. Bouleghcha I. 6. Soualhia A. 26. Esmel H. 8. Akkal S. 18. Gauthier A. 24. Nsingi P. 7. Faty M. 15. Rodrigues C.
Substitutes
18. Da Silva F. 3. Inquel S. 20. Ntumi M. 40. Patron P. (G) 9. Tell J.
11. Darnaud A. 19. Ghalem T. 23. Gromat J. 33. Mazaudier M. 3. Seidou E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Seba D. (Own goal),
44', 0 - 2, Faty M. ⚽, Bouleghcha I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Gbelle G. ↓, Da Silva F. ↑,
61', Goujon L. ↓, Ntumi M. ↑,
63', Faty M. 🟨,
73', Halby J. ↓, Inquel S. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Nsingi P. ⚽,
80', Rodrigues C. ↓, Gromat J. ↑,
80', Mohamed I. ↓, Ghalem T. ↑,
84', Baldoni S. ↓, Tell J. ↑,
85', Faty M. ↓, Seidou E. ↑,
85', Nsingi P. ↓, Mazaudier M. ↑,
89', Gauthier A. ↓, Darnaud A. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5).
Concarneau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Le Puy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Concarneau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).