Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 41

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday


	Concord Rangers		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	2.8	3.75	2.05
	2.8	3.91	2.25
	4.75	3.5	1.65
	2.67	3.56	2.38
	2.7	3.4	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (5.05)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.13 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
30.4%

Draw
26%

Havant & Waterlooville
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

26.1%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

25.1%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Concord Rangers's performance.

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Havant & Waterlooville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Concord Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Havant & Waterlooville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	27.3%	27.3%

Concord Rangers - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Concord will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Havant will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concord: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Havant could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Havant have a series of guest games.

In this match Havant is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Concord won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
25.04.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Concord Rangers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
20.04.23	Concord Rangers - Dartford	3:2 ✺
18.04.23	Concord Rangers - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Bath City - Concord Rangers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 TWWWL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
22.04.23	Oxford City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	2:2 ✺
28.03.23	St Albans City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Concord Rangers	2:0
12.02.22	Concord Rangers - Havant & Waterlooville	3:1
09.10.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Concord Rangers	5:2
01.02.20	Concord Rangers - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0
26.10.19	Havant & Waterlooville - Concord Rangers	2:1
28.04.18	Havant & Waterlooville - Concord Rangers	3:2
07.10.17	Concord Rangers - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1

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