Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 42

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	St Albans City		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.55
	2.45	3.4	2.65
	2.6	3.19	2.73
	2.6	3.19	2.73
	2.47	3.3	2.65
	2.45	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.22)	3.25 (3.25)	2.65 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
36.9%

Draw
28.4%

Braintree Town
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Albans City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braintree Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St Albans City - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Blair A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Braintree could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently St Albans have a series of guest games.

Recently Braintree have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches St Albans won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
23.03.24	Aveley - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	St Albans City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - St Albans City	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Maidstone United - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWT
- Braintree Town
English National League South
23.03.24	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
19.03.24	Braintree Town - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Weymouth - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Braintree Town - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.11.23	Braintree Town - St Albans City	4:0
07.04.23	St Albans City - Braintree Town	0:2
27.09.22	Braintree Town - St Albans City	1:0
12.02.22	St Albans City - Braintree Town	0:1
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	St Albans City - Braintree Town	1:0 penalties
English National League South
09.10.21	Braintree Town - St Albans City	0:2
10.11.20	St Albans City - Braintree Town	2:1

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