Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Confiança		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.5
	2	2.88	3.8	Watch
	2.04	2.95	3.85
	2.17	3.11	3.97
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.14	3.04	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.03)	3.73 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
44.5%

Draw
30.7%

Cuiabá
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

22.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Confiança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Confiança - Cuiabá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Confiança is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cuiabá has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cuiabá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Confiança will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Confiança won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
20.11.20	Avaí - Confiança	1:0 ✺
10.11.20	Confiança - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
06.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Confiança	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Confiança - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
24.10.20	América Mineiro - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLL
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
21.11.20	Cuiabá - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.11.20	Grêmio - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.11.20	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.11.20	Cuiabá - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.08.20	Cuiabá - Confiança	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
24.07.17	Confiança - Cuiabá	1:1
21.05.17	Cuiabá - Confiança	1:2
07.08.16	Confiança - Cuiabá	1:1
05.06.16	Cuiabá - Confiança	3:0
09.08.15	Confiança - Cuiabá	4:1
24.05.15	Cuiabá - Confiança	1:0

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