Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Confiança		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.7	2.9	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.65
	2.55	2.75	2.8	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.85
	2.92	2.83	2.96
	2.75	2.7	2.88
	2.72	2.91	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.45)	2.77 ↓ (2.94)	2.85 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
34.1%

Draw
33.4%

Chapecoense
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

22.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapecoense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Confiança - Chapecoense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Confiança could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
24.10.20	América Mineiro - Confiança	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Confiança	1:3 ✺
17.10.20	Confiança - Osasco Sporting	3:1 ✺
09.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Confiança	1:1 ✺
06.10.20	Confiança - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWTW
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
27.10.20	Chapecoense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
23.10.20	Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
20.10.20	Ponte Preta - Chapecoense	0:5 ✺
17.10.20	Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
14.10.20	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWTW

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