Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Cuiabá		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.33	Watch
	1.95	2.95	3.9
				Watch
	2.09	3	3.55
	2.19	3.08	3.95
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.07	3.04	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.76)	3.01 ↓ (3.15)	3.88 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
45%

Draw
31%

CS Alagoano
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

29.4%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

16.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CS Alagoano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cuiabá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CS Alagoano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cuiabá - CS Alagoano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches CSA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cuiabá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cuiabá will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Copa do Brasil
18.11.20	Grêmio - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.11.20	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.11.20	Cuiabá - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
03.11.20	Cuiabá - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
10.11.20	CS Alagoano - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
27.10.20	Chapecoense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
23.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.09.20	CS Alagoano - Cuiabá	1:2
Brazilian Serie C
09.09.17	Cuiabá - CS Alagoano	1:1
09.07.17	CS Alagoano - Cuiabá	0:0

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