Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Confiança		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	2.9	5.25
	1.7	3	5.15	Watch
	1.7	3.25	5.57
	1.85	3.15	4.62	Watch
	1.73	2.9	5
	1.7	3.08	5.36	Watch
	1.97	3.02	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	4.97 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
51.7%

Draw
30%

Floresta
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

29.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Confiança - Floresta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Confiança (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Scheibig (G) 6. Airton 4. Eduardo Moura 8. Jhon Cley 2. Lenon 5. Luiz Otavio 11. Maikon Aquino 9. Neto Oliveira 10. Renan 7. Ronald Camarao 14. Valdo (C)	1. Dalton (G) 17. Diego Matos 18. Guilherme Martineli 8. Guilherme Nunes 10. Gustavo Xuxa 31. Icaro 2. Mateus Ludke 30. Romarinho 19. Rubens 13. Thomas Kayck 3. Vitao
Coaches
Luizinho Vieira	Leston Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Maikon Aquino 🟨,
30', Icaro 🟥,
34', Rubens ↓, Julio Vaz ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Airton ↓, Dionisio ↑,
46', Jhon Cley ↓, Nicholas ↑,
65', Romarinho ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
65', Gustavo Xuxa ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
70', Lenon ↓, Vitinho ↑,
74', Maikon Aquino ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
74', Renan ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Breiner C. ⚽,
85', Vitao ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', Thiago Santos 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Confiança is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Floresta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Confiança may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Confiança is the team to beat.

We predict that Confiança will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Confiança won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
09.08.25	Ituano - Confiança	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Confiança - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	São Bernardo - Confiança	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Confiança - Tombense	3:2 ✺
12.07.25	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWTWT
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.25	Floresta - Tombense	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Maringá - Floresta	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Floresta - ABC	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Ponte Preta - Floresta	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
10.06.24	Floresta - Confiança	1:0
07.08.23	Confiança - Floresta	3:1
10.04.22	Floresta - Confiança	1:0

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